by Hobbs • 8 MAR 2026

Update: Middle East Conflict

Previously advised parts of the central Middle Eastern air corridor remain largely closed as war continues through the Middle East.

Tel Aviv, Damascus, Kuwait, Bahrain, Baghdad, Doha & Tehran are all affected, as Qatar Airways, Etihad and Emirates continue with embargos in place. Many planes are at this stage still locked out of returning to the Middle East and grounded at airports around the world as the situation continues to develop.

Global capacity is starting to feel the flow-on effect of the closed airspace through the Middle East, with alternative routing attempting to absorb the pressure.

Please continue to expect delays as the airfreight and seafreight routing challenges continue to evolve.

MFAT announced last week that exports to the Persian Gulf represent 3% of New Zealand's total exports. While not considered high, these are dominated by dairy into the UAE and Saudi Arabia; key markets for our whole milk powder and butter products. 22% of New Zealand's fertiliser is additionally imported from the region.

As a result of the ongoing struggles to export oil through the Strait of Hormuz, fuel prices are starting to become affected on New Zealand shores. While New Zealand doesn't directly import crude oil from the Gulf region, Asian countries which we import refined product from have high dependencies on the Middle Eastern oil supply.

We've had notice in the last few days of diesel prices expecting to jump by 40+ cents per litre; these have already increased by 20.6 cents or 11% in the last 28 days.

We expect higher Bulker (fuel) costs to follow suit as shipping lines look to recover costs associated with new routing as well as their increasing fuel costs.

If you have any questions, please reach out to the Hobbs Global Team.

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Government Announces Fuel Response Plan

The New Zealand Fuel Response Plan has been announced today by the Minister of Finance and Minister of Energy. The plan includes four phases with the aim to minimise disruption as fuel supply continues to be affected due to the conflict in the Middle East. These range from normal supply through to protected distribution in the event of severe disruption. Tools have been outlined to prioritise essential services if the need arises. More details will be developed over the coming weeks to illustrate issues relating to specific sectors. Consideration is being given to jet fuel, diesel (including marine fuels) and petrol supply with differing steps in the plan. This could mean we see different phases applied to different fuels at different times subject to availability of supply and essential use. Further information can be found at the below links. Middle East conflict and New Zealand's fuel stocks | Ministry of Business, Innovation Employment Fuel plan to protect economy amid disruption | Beehive.govt.nz Hobbs Global will continue to monitor the situation on a day-by-day basis, as we have been doing for a number of weeks now. At this stage, while a response plan has been set, indications are that fuel supply is stable (albeit continuing to increase in price) and normal usage patterns should still be followed. The volatile nature of the market means we can expect fuel prices to remain high for airfreight, sea freight and domestic trucking movements with various Emergency Fuel/Bunker Surcharges in place. If you have any questions about how this may affect your supply chain, please reach out to the Hobbs Global Team.

by Hobbs • 27 MAR 2026